Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.928105 2.204231 2.506136 2.860780 3.266072 3.714931 4.249973
2024-12-29 1.498721 1.869428 2.311169 2.876620 3.581803 4.433129 5.540433
2025-01-05 1.233850 1.632328 2.135566 2.818277 3.721559 4.877654 6.473138
2025-01-12 1.044228 1.450060 1.987704 2.752899 3.815943 5.243771 7.313208
2025-01-19 0.893033 1.293295 1.846013 2.666071 3.854643 5.519412 8.037308
2025-01-26 0.848884 1.276822 1.890286 2.835310 4.258456 6.328752 9.583102
2025-02-02 0.811547 1.263681 1.934384 3.003722 4.671525 7.183411 11.274025
2025-02-09 0.767710 1.234346 1.948820 3.124795 5.019453 7.966282 12.925231
2025-02-16 0.713850 1.182586 1.921789 3.175192 5.256812 8.593245 14.382794
2025-02-23 0.645107 1.099104 1.835177 3.118613 5.311726 8.927558 15.385612
2025-03-02 0.590538 1.033281 1.770243 3.089772 5.406466 9.330003 16.532684
2025-03-09 0.552671 0.991932 1.741705 3.118651 5.599576 9.910568 18.035242
2025-03-16 0.514565 0.947567 1.705651 3.133999 5.775804 10.487137 19.605592
2025-03-23 0.481968 0.910057 1.678330 3.162551 5.978790 11.130262 21.363164
2025-03-30 0.439660 0.850236 1.604678 3.097386 5.999681 11.438703 22.514423
2025-04-06 0.401063 0.793632 1.531563 3.025563 5.999467 11.704299 23.602859
2025-04-13 0.363620 0.735651 1.450452 2.930056 5.942827 11.853791 24.470522
2025-04-20 0.362234 0.749119 1.508776 3.116200 6.463718 13.179898 27.848317
2025-04-27 0.360160 0.760871 1.564427 3.301442 6.998757 14.579561 31.510046
2025-05-04 0.352356 0.759892 1.593965 3.434618 7.436332 15.815672 34.938828
2025-05-11 0.337385 0.742254 1.587364 3.490055 7.712226 16.735006 37.762562
2025-05-18 0.312917 0.701777 1.529037 3.427818 7.725368 17.091388 39.364801
2025-05-25 0.293126 0.669858 1.486342 3.396094 7.802833 17.593225 41.341556